When Grand Theft Auto VI finally hits shelves in 2026, it's almost certain to shatter sales records and dominate the gaming conversation. Rockstar's open-world epics have always been commercial juggernauts, but there's one trophy that has consistently eluded them: Game of the Year. History shows that being the biggest doesn't always mean being the best in the eyes of critics.

Rockstar's last two blockbusters, GTA V and Red Dead Redemption 2, were massive critical and commercial successes, yet both lost the top prize at major award shows to more intimate, narrative-driven experiences. The Last of Us and God of War (2018) may not have matched Rockstar's scale, but they won over voters with their focused storytelling and emotional depth. That pattern could repeat in 2026, with three formidable contenders poised to block GTA VI from a total victory.

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Marvel's Wolverine: A Focused Slice of Fury

First up is Marvel's Wolverine, launching September 15 from Insomniac Games. The studio behind the beloved Spider-Man series has already proven its superhero chops, but despite multiple nominations, they've never taken home the big prize. Wolverine looks to change that by trimming the open-world bloat that sometimes bogged down Spider-Man, delivering a more streamlined, visceral experience. The combat shown so far is raw and adrenaline-fueled, trading web-swinging for brutal, claw-first action. With PlayStation's signature cinematic polish, Wolverine could be the exact kind of focused, high-quality game that has beaten Rockstar before.

Gears of War: E-Day: A Return to Roots with a Punch

Then there's Gears of War: E-Day, arriving October 6. The multiplayer beta has already drawn universal praise, especially the new Horde Siege mode that reinvents the franchise's iconic co-op survival. But the campaign is where E-Day needs to shine to become Xbox's first first-party GOTY winner. As a prequel set during Emergence Day, it's ripe for emotional storytelling, bringing back Marcus and Dom and exploring the origins of the Lancer. With a heartbreaking narrative potential and a multiplayer suite that's already a hit, E-Day is a serious contender.

The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time Remake: A Legend Reborn

The wildcard is the Ocarina of Time remake. The original remains the highest-rated game on Metacritic with a perfect 99, and its influence is unmatched. A ground-up remake could modernize the classic while preserving what made it special, potentially becoming the first remake ever to win Game of the Year. Nintendo's track record with Zelda, combined with the nostalgia factor, makes this a dark horse that could upset everyone.

Why GTA VI Might Fall Short Again

It's easy to assume GTA VI will sweep everything, but the precedent is clear. Critics have twice chosen smaller, more focused games over Rockstar's sprawling worlds. While gamers vote with their wallets—GTA V and RDR2 have sold a combined 317 million copies—award panels seem to value emotional resonance over sheer scale. With such a stacked lineup this fall and winter, 2026 could end with Rockstar once again watching someone else take the spotlight.

Of course, GTA VI will still be a monumental achievement, and its online mode will likely dominate for years. But for those hoping to see Rockstar finally claim the industry's top honor, history suggests they might be waiting a little longer. The race is far from over, but these three challengers have the pedigree and potential to make it a photo finish.